Earthquakes and Ruptures

Ying Zhang, Qingyan Meng, Guy Ouillon, Didier Sornette, Weiyu Ma, Linlin Zhang, Jing Zhao, Yuan Qi and Fei Geng, Spatially variable model for extracting TIR anomalies before earthquakes: Application to Chinese Mainland, Remote Sensing of Environment 267, 112720 (2021)

Didier Sornette, Euan Mearns and Spencer Wheatley, Revisiting the predictability of the Haicheng and Tangshan earthquakes, Symmetry 13, 1206 (2021), external pagehttps://doi.org/10.3390/sym13071206 (external pagehttp://arxiv.org/abs/2002.00830)

Qinghua Lei and Didier Sornette, Transport and localization of elastic waves in two-dimensional fractured media: Consequences on scattering attenuation, Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth 126, e2020JB021178. (2021) (doi: external pagehttps://doi.org/10.1029/2020JB021178)

Euan Mearns and Didier Sornette, A transfer fault complex to explain the geodynamics and faulting mechanisms of the M7.8 Tangshan Earthquake, Journal of Asian Earth Sciences 213, 104738 (2021) (doi:external pagehttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jseaes.2021.104738)

Shyam Nandan , Sumit Kumar Ram , Guy Ouillon and Didier Sornette, Is seismicity operating at a critical point? Phys. Rev. Letts. 126 (12), DOI:10.1103/PhysRevLett.126.128501 (2021) (external pagehttps://link.aps.org/doi/10.1103/PhysRevLett.126.128501) (external pagehttps://arxiv.org/pdf/2012.06013.pdf)

D. Sornette, G. Ouillon, A. Mignan and F. Freund, Preface to the Global Earthquake Forecasting System (GEFS) special issue: Towards using non-seismic precursors for the prediction of large earthquakes, Eur. Phys. J. Special Topics 230, 1-5 (2021)
(external pagehttps://doi.org/10.1140/epjst/e2020-000242-4)

F. Freund, G. Ouillon, J. Scoville and D. Sornette, Earthquake precursors in the light of peroxy defects theory: critical review of systematic observations, Global Earthquake Forecasting System (GEFS) Special Issue: Towards Using Non-seismic Precursors for the Prediction of Large Earthquakes, Eur. Phys. J. Special Topics 230, 7{46 (2021)
(external pagehttps://doi.org/10.1140/epjst/e2020-000243-x)

Hong-Jia Chen, Chien-Chih Chen, Guy Ouillon and Didier Sornette, Coupled mechano-electrokinetic Burridge-Knopoff model of fault sliding events and transient geoelectric signals, Global Earthquake Forecasting System (GEFS) Special Issue: Towards Using Non-seismic Precursors for the Prediction of Large Earthquakes, Eur. Phys. J. Special Topics 230, 67-84 (2021)
(DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2020-000245-x)

Ying Zhang, Qingyan Meng, Guy Ouillon, Linlin Zhang, Die Hu, Weiyu Ma and Didier Sornette, Long-Term Statistical Evidence Proving the Correspondence between TIR Anomalies and Earthquakes is Still Absent, Global Earthquake Forecasting System (GEFS) Special Issue: Towards Using Non-seismic Precursors for the Prediction of Large Earthquakes, Eur. Phys. J. Special Topics 230, 133-150 (2021)
(external pagehttps://doi.org/10.1140/epjst/e2020-000248-4)

Hong-Jia Chen, Chien-Chih Chen, Guy Ouillon, Didier Sornette, A paradigm for developing earthquake probability forecasts based on geoelectric data, Global Earthquake Forecasting System (GEFS) Special Issue: Towards Using Non-seismic Precursors for the Prediction of Large Earthquakes, Eur. Phys. J. Special Topics 230, 381-407 (2021)
(external pagehttps://doi.org/10.1140/epjst/e2020-000258-9)

Shyam Nandan, Yavor Kamer, Guy Ouillon, Stefan Hiemer, and Didier Sornette, Global models for short-term earthquake forecasting and predictive skill assessment, Global Earthquake Forecasting System (GEFS) Special Issue: Towards Using Non-seismic Precursors for the Prediction of Large Earthquakes, Eur. Phys. J. Special Topics 230, 425-449 (2021)
(external pagehttps://doi.org/10.1140/epjst/e2020-000259-3)

Yavor Kamer, Shyam Nandan, Guy Ouillon, Stefan Hiemer and Didier Sornette, Democratizing earthquake predictability research: introducing the RichterX platform, Global Earthquake Forecasting System (GEFS) Special Issue: Towards Using Non-seismic Precursors for the Prediction of Large Earthquakes, Eur. Phys. J. Special Topics 230, 451-471 (2021)
(external pagehttps://doi.org/10.1140/epjst/e2020-000260-2)

A. Mignan, G. Ouillon, D. Sornette and F. Freund, Global Earthquake Forecasting System (GEFS): The Challenges Ahead, Global Earthquake Forecasting System (GEFS) Special Issue: Towards Using Non-seismic Precursors for the Prediction of Large Earthquakes, Eur. Phys. J. Special Topics 230, 473-490 (2021)
(external pagehttps://doi.org/10.1140/epjst/e2020-000261-8)

Yavor Kamer, Guy Ouillon, Didier Sornette,
Fault Network Reconstruction using Agglomerative Clustering: Applications to South Californian Seismicity, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 20, 3611-3625 (2020) (video at external pagehttps://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/20/3611/2020/)

Shyam Nandan, Guy Ouillon, Didier Sornette and Stefan Wiemer,
Forecasting the rates of future aftershocks of all generations is essential to develop better earthquake forecast models,
Journal of GeophysicalResearch: Solid Earth 124. external pagehttps://doi.org/10.1029/2018JB016668 (2019)
(external pagehttp://arxiv.org/abs/1903.07075)

Shyam Nandan, Guy Ouillon, Didier Sornette and Stefan Wiemer, Forecasting the full distribution of earthquake numbers is fair, robust and better, Seismological Research Letters 90 (4), 1650-1659. (2019) (external pagehttp://arxiv.org/abs/1903.07079)

Shyam Nandan, Guy Ouillon and Didier Sornette, Magnitude of earthquakes controls the size distribution of their triggered events, Journal of Geophysical Research - Solid Earth 124 (3), 2762-2780 (2019) (external pagehttp://arxiv.org/abs/1901.03901)

Shyam Nandan, Guy Ouillon, Stefan Wiemer and Didier Sornette
Objective Estimation of Spatially Variable Parameters of Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence Model: Application to California ,
Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth 122 (7), 5118-5143 (2017), DOI: 10.1002/2016JB013266
(external pagehttp://arxiv.org/abs/1706.08922)

Hong-Jia Chen, Chien-Chih Chen, Guy Ouillon and Didier Sornette, Using geoelectric field skewness and kurtosis to forecast the 2016/2/6, ML6.6 Meinong, Taiwan Earthquake, Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences 28 (5), 745-761 (2017)

Friedemann Freund, Guy Ouillon, John Scoville and Didier Sornette, Earthquake precursors in the light of peroxy defects theory: critical review of systematic observations, Eur. Phys. J. Spec. Topics (2018)
(external pagehttps://arxiv.org/abs/1711.01780)

Shyam Nandan, Guy Ouillon, Jochen Woessner, Didier Sornette and Stefan Wiemer, Systematic Assessment of the Static Stress-Triggering Hypothesis using Inter-earthquake Time Statistics, Journal of Geophysical Research - Solid Earth 121, 1890-1909, doi:10.1002/2015JB012212 (2016)
(external pagehttp://arxiv.org/abs/1602.08706)

V.F. Pisarenko, A. Sornette, D. Sornette and M.V. Rodkin, DownloadReply to: ‘‘Comment on Pisarenko et al., ‘Characterization of the Tail of the Distribution of Earthquake Magnitudes by Combining the GEV and GPD Descriptions of Extreme Value Theory’” (PDF, 159 KB) by Mathias Raschke in Pure Appl. Geophys. (2015), Pure Appl. Geophys. DOI 10.1007/s00024-015-1194-7, published on line 23 December 2015

Y. Kamer, G. Ouillon, D. Sornette and J. Woessner, Condensation of earthquake location distributions: optimal spatial information encoding and application to multifractal analysis of South Californian seismicity, Physical Review E E 92, 022808 (2015)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/1407.1036v2)

V.F. Pisarenko, A. Sornette, D. Sornette and M.V. Rodkin, Characterization of the Tail of the Distribution of Earthquake Magnitudes by combining the GEV and GPD descriptions of Extreme Value Theory, Pure and Applied Geophysics 171, 1599-1624 (2014) DOI 10.1007/s00024-014-0882-z
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/0805.1635)

Wang, Y., G. Ouillon, J. Woessner, D. Sornette and S. Husen, Automatic reconstruction of fault networks from seismicity catalogs including location uncertainty, Journal of Geophysical Research - Solid Earth, 118, 5956-5975, doi:10.1002/2013JB010164 (2013)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/1304.6912)

A. Saichev and D. Sornette, Fertility Heterogeneity as a Mechanism for Power Law Distributions of Recurrence Times, Physical Review E87, 022815 (2013)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/1211.6062)

J. Faillettaz, M. Funk and D. Sornette, Instabilities on Alpine temperate glaciers: new insights arising from the numerical modelling of Allalingletscher (Valais, Switzerland), Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 12, 2977-2991 (2012)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/1201.1189)

C.-Y. Tsai, G. Ouillon and D. Sornette, New Empirical Tests of the Multifractal Omori Law for Taiwan, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 102 (5), 2128-2138 (2012)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/1109.5017)

J. Faillettaz, D. Sornette and M. Funk, Numerical modeling of gravity driven instability of a cold hanging glacier: Reanalysis of the 1895 break off of Altelsgletscher, Journal of Glaciology 57 (205), 817-831 (2011)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/1101.5062)

V.F. Pisarenko, D. Sornette and M.V. Rodkin, Distribution of Maximum Earthquake Magnitudes in Future Time Intervals, Application to the Seismicity of Japan (1923-2007), Earth Planets Space 62, 567-578 (2010)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/0908.2240)

G. Ouillon and D. Sornette, Segmentation of Fault Networks Determined from Spatial Clustering of Earthquakes, Journal of Geophysical Research - Solid Earth 116, B02306, DOI:10.1029/2010JB007752, 1-30 (2011)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/1006.0885)

D. Sornette and V. Pisarenko, On the Correct Use of Statistical Tests: Reply to "Lies, damned lies and statistics (in Geology)", EOS Transactions AGU, Vol. 92, No. 8, page 64, 22 February 2011 external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/1001.4158)
external pageSupplementary material

M.J. Werner, K. Ide and D. Sornette, Earthquake Forecasting Based on Data Assimilation: Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Renewal Processes, Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 18, 49-70 (2011)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/0908.1516)

J. Faillettaz, M. Funk and D. Sornette, Icequakes coupled with surface displacements for predicting glacier break-off, Journal of Glaciology 57 (203), 453-460 (2011)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/1011.4781)

J. Faillettaz, D. Sornette and M. Funk, Graphity-driven instabilities: interplay between state-and-velocity dependent frictional sliding and stress corrosion damage cracking, J. Geophys. Res. 115, B03409, doi:10.1029/2009JB006512 (2010)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/0904.0944)

D. Sornette and M.J. Werner, Statistical Physics Approaches to Seismicity, in Complexity in Earthquakes, Tsunamis, and Volcanoes, and Forecast, W.H.K. Lee (Ed), in the Encyclopedia of Complexity and Systems Science, R. Meyers (Editor-in-chief), p. 7872-7891, Springer (2009), LXXX, 10370 p. 4300 illus., 2040 in color. In 11 volumes. ISBN: 978-0-387-755888-6
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/0803.3756)

A. Saichev and D. Sornette, Theory of Earthquake Recurrence Times, J. Geophys. Res., 112, B04313, doi:10.1029/2006JB004536 (2007)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0606001)

D. Sornette, S. Utkin and A. Saichev, Solution of the Nonlinear Theory and Tests of Earthquake Recurrence Times, Physical Review E 77, 066109 (2008)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/0712.2335)

M.J. Werner and D. Sornette. Magnitude uncertainties impact seismic rate estimates, forecasts and predictability experiments, J. Geophys. Res., 113, B08302, doi:10.1029/2007JB005427 (2008)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/0710.4196)

G. Ouillon, C. Ducorbier and D. Sornette, Automatic Reconstruction of Fault Networks from Seismicity Catalogs: 28 Three-dimensional optimal anisotropic dynamic clustering, J. Geophys. Res. 113, B01306, doi:1029/2007JB005032 (2008)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0703084)

V.F. Pisarenko, A. Sornette, D. Sornette and M.V. Rodkin, New Approach to the Characterization of Mmax and of the Tail of the Distribution of Earthquake Magnitudes, Pure and Applied Geophysics 165, 847-888 (2008)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0703010)

G. Ouillon, E. Ribeiro and D. Sornette, Multifractal Omori Law for Earthquake Triggering: New Tests on the California, Japan and Worldwide Catalogs, Geophysical Journal International 178, 215-243 (2009)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0609179)

M. Werner and D. Sornette, comment on "Analysis of the Spatial Distribution Between Successive Earthquakes" by Davidsen and Paczuski, [Phys. Rev. Lett. 94, 048501 (2005)], Physical Review Letters 99, 179801 (2007)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0608161)

D. Sornette and J.V. Andersen. Optimal Prediction of Time-to-Failure from Information Revealed by Damage, Europhysics. Letters 74 (5), 778-784 (2006)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0511134)

A. Saichev and D. Sornette, "Universal'' Distribution of Inter-Earthquake Times Explained, Phys. Rev. Letts. 97, 078501 (2006) external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0604018)

F. Freund and D. Sornette, Electro-Magnetic Earthquake Bursts and Critical Rupture of Peroxy Bond Networks in Rocks, Tectonophysics 431, 33-47 (2007)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0603205)

J. Andersen and D. Sornette, Predicting Failure using Conditioning on Damage History: Demonstration on Percolation and Hierarchical Fiber Bundles, Phys. Rev. E 72, 056124 (2005)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0508424)

A. Saichev and D. Sornette, Renormalization of the ETAS branching model of triggered seismicity from total to observable seismicity, Eur. Phys. J. B 51 (3), 443-459 (2006) (DOI: 10.1140/epjb/e2006-00242-6)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0507024)

A. Saichev and D. Sornette, Vere-Jones' Self-Similar Branching Model, Phys. Rev. E 72, 056122 (2005)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0505644)

A. Saichev and D. Sornette, Distribution of the Largest Aftershocks in Branching Models of Triggered Seismicity: Theory of the Universal Bath's law, Phys. Rev. E 71, 056127 (2005)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0501102)

D. Sornette and M.J. Werner, Apparent Clustering and Apparent Background Earthquakes Biased by Undetected Seismicity, J. Geophys. Res., Vol. 110, No. B9, B09303, 10.1029/2005JB003621 (22 September 2005)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0501049)

A. Saichev and D. Sornette, Power law distribution of seismic rates, Tectonophysics 431, 7 - 13 (2007)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0412050)

A. Saichev and D. Sornette, Power law distribution of seismic rates: theory and data, Eur. J. Phys. B 49, 377-401 (2006)
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0412043)

D. Sornette and M.J. Werner, Constraints on the Size of the Smallest Triggering Earthquake from the ETAS Model, Baath's Law, and Observed Aftershock Sequences, J. Geophys. Res. 110, No. B8, B08304, doi:10.1029/2004JB003535 (2005)
external page(http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2004JB003535) external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0411114)

D. Sornette, Statistical Physics of Rupture in Heterogeneous Media, Handbook of Materials Modeling, S. Yip, ed. (Springer Science and Business Media, 2005), pp. 1313-1331
external page(http://arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0409524)

D. Sornette and G. Ouillon, Multifractal Scaling of Thermally-Activated Rupture Processes, Phys. Rev. Lett. 94, 038501 (2005)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/physics/0407053)

G. Ouillon and D. Sornette, Magnitude-Dependent Omori Law: Theory and Empirical Study, J. Geophys. Res., 110, B04306, doi:10.1029/2004JB003311 (2005).
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0407208)

H. Nechad, A. Helmstetter, R. El Guerjouma and D. Sornette, Creep Ruptures in Heterogeneous Materials, Phys. Rev. Lett. 94, 045501 (2005)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0404347)

A. Saichev and D. Sornette, Anomalous Power Law Distribution of Total Lifetimes of Aftershocks Sequences, Phys. Rev. E 70, 046123 (2004)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/physics/0404019)

H. Nechad, A. Helmstetter, R. El Guerjouma and D. Sornette, Andrade and Critical Time-to-Failure Laws in Fiber-Matrix Composites: Experiments and Model, Journal of Mechanics and Physics of Solids (JMPS) 53, 1099-1127 (2005)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0404035)

D. Sornette, A. Helmstetter, J.V. Andersen, S. Gluzman, J.-R. Grasso and V.F. Pisarenko, Towards Landslide Predictions: Two Case Studies. Physica A 338, 605-632 (2004) external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/physics/0305067)

A. Helmstetter, S. Hergarten and D. Sornette, Properties of Foreshocks and Aftershocks of the Non-Conservative Self-Organized Critical Olami-Feder-Christensen Model, Phys. Rev. E 70, 046120 (2004)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0312689)

V.Pisarenko, D.Sornette, and M. Rodkin, Deviations of the distributions of seismic energies from the Gutenberg-Richter law, Computational Seismology 35, 138-159 (2004)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/physics/0312020)

A. Saichev and D. Sornette, Andrade, Omori and Time-to-failure Laws from Thermal Noise in Material Rupture, Phys. Rev. E 71, 016608 (2005)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0311493)

A. Helmstetter and D. Sornette, Comment on "Power-Law Time Distribution of Large Earthquakes," Phys. Rev. Lett. Lett. 92, 129801 (2004). (reply is Phys. Rev. Lett. Lett. 92, 129802 (2004))
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/physics/0307134)

A. Helmstetter and D. Sornette, Bath's law Derived from the Gutenberg-Richter law and from Aftershock Properties, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 2069, 10.1029/2003GL018186 (2003)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/physics/0307083)

A. Saichev, A. Helmstetter and D. Sornette, Anomalous Scaling of Offspring and Generation Numbers in Branching Processes, Pure and Applied Geophysics 162, 1113-1134 (2005).
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0305007)

G. Ouillon and D. Sornette, Long-range Static Directional Stress Transfer in a Cracked, Nonlinear Elastic Crust, Future Generation Computer Systems 22, 500-520
(doi:10.1016/j.future.2005.04.007)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/physics/0304054)

A. Helmstetter, G. Ouillon and D. Sornette, Are Aftershocks of Large Californian Earthquakes Diffusing? J. Geophys. Res., 108, 2483, 10.1029/2003JB002503 (2003)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/physics/0303075)

A. Helmstetter and D. Sornette, Importance of direct and indirect triggered seismicity in the ETAS model of seismicity,
Geophys. Res. Lett. 30 (11) doi:10.1029/2003GL017670 June (2003)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/physics/0303070)

D. Sornette and V.F. Pisarenko, Fractal Plate Tectonics, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(3), 1105, doi:10.1029/2002GL015043 (2003).
(htexternal pagetp://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0202320)

The global set of present plate boundaries on the Earth used in "Fractal Plate Tectonics" has been obtained by P. Bird at the department of Earth and Space Sciences at UCLA and is published in Bird, P. (2003) An updated digital model of plate boundaries, Geochemistry Geophysics Geosystems, 4(3), 1027, doi:10.1029/2001GC000252.
http://element.ess.ucla.edu/publications/2003_PB2002/2003_PB2002.htm

A. Helmstetter and D. Sornette, Foreshocks explained by cascades of triggered seismicity, J. Geophys. Res. (Solid Earth) 108 (B10),2457 10.1029/2003JB002409 01 (October 2003)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/physics/0210130)

D. Sornette and C. Le Floc'h, Predictability of catastrophic events; a new approach for Structural Health Monitoring, Structural Health Monitoring Journal
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0210418)

A. Helmstetter and D. Sornette, Predictability in the ETAS Model of Interacting Triggered Seismicity, J. Geophys. Res., 108, 2482, 10.1029/2003JB002485 (2003)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0208597)

G. Ouillon and D. Sornette, Search for Direct Stress Correlation Signatures of the Critical Earthquake Model, Geophys. J. Int., 157, 1233-1246 (2004)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0208498)

A. Helmstetter, D. Sornette, J.-R. Grasso, J. V. Andersen, S. Gluzman and V. Pisarenko, Slider-Block Friction Model for Landslides: Application to Vaiont and La Clapiere Landslides, J. Geophys. Res., 109, B02409, doi:10.1029/2002JB002160 (2004).
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0208413)

A. Helmstetter, D. Sornette and J.-R. Grasso, Mainshocks are Aftershocks of Conditional Foreshocks: How do foreshock statistical properties emerge from aftershock laws, J. Geophys. Res., 108 (B1), 2046, doi:10.1029/2002JB001991, 2003.
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0205499)

A. Helmstetter and D. Sornette, Diffusion of epicenters of earthquake aftershocks, Omori's law, and generalized continuous-time random walk models - art. no. 061104, Physical Review E. 6606 (6 Part 1):1104, 2002 Dec.
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0203505)

Wei-Xing Zhou and Didier Sornette, Generalized q-Analysis of Log-Periodicity: Applications to Critical Ruptures, Phys. Rev. E - art. no. 046111, 6604 N4 PT2:U129-U136 (2002)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0201458)

V.F. Pisarenko and D. Sornette, Statistical detection and characterization of a deviation from the Gutenberg-Richter distribution above magnitude 8, Pure and Applied Geophysics 161 (4), 839-864 (2004)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0201552)

Didier Sornette and Agnes Helmstetter, Occurrence of Finite-Time-Singularity in Epidemic Models of Rupture, Earthquakes and Starquakes, Physical Review Letters 89 (15) 158501 (20 Sept 2002)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0112043)

A. Helmstetter and D. Sornette, Sub-critical and supercritical regimes in epidemic models of earthquake aftershocks, J. Geophys. Res. 107, NO. B10, 2237, doi:10.1029/2001JB001580, 18 October (2002)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0109318)

D. Sornette and K. Ide, Theory of self-similar oscillatory finite-time singularities in Finance, Population and Rupture, Int. J. Mod. Phys. C 14 (3), 267-275 (2002)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0106054)

K. Ide and D. Sornette, Oscillatory Finite-Time Singularities in Finance, Population and Rupture, Physica A 307 (1-2), 63-106 (2002)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0106047)

S.G. Sammis and D. Sornette, Positive Feedback, Memory and the Predictability of Earthquakes, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences V99 SUPP1:2501-2508 (2002 FEB 19)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0107143

D. Sornette, Predictability of catastrophic events: material rupture, earthquakes, turbulence, financial crashes and human birth,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA,
V99 SUPP1:2522-2529 (2002 FEB 19)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0107173)

C. Maveyraud, J.P. Vila, D. Sornette, C.Le Floc'h, J.M. Dupillier, R. Salome, Numerical modelling of the behaviour of high-pressure vessels under a hypervelocity impact, Mec.Ind. 2, 57-62 (2001).

H.J.Viljoen, L.L.Lauderback and D. Sornette, Solitary waves and supersonic reaction front in metastable solids, art. no. 026609. Physical Review E V6502 N2 PT2:U807-U819 (2002 FEB).
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0012496)

J.-C. Anifrani, C. Le Floc'h and D. Sornette, Prediction de la rupture de reservoirs composites de haute pression a l'aide de l'emission acoustique, Controle Industriel 220, 43-45 (1999)

V.F. Pisarenko and D. Sornette, Characterization of the frequency of extreme events by the Generalized Pareto Distribution, Pure and Applied Geophysics 160 (12), 2343-2364 (2003)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0011168)

S. Gluzman, J.V. Andersen and D. Sornette, Functional Renormalization Prediction of Rupture, Computational Seismology 32, 122-137 (2001) Eds. A.Levshin,G.Molchan, B.Naimark, Moscow, GEOS
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0011164)

S. Gluzman and D. Sornette
Self-Consistent Theory of Rupture by progressive diffuse damage,
Physical Review E V6306 N6 PT2:6129,U241-U250 (2001)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0010207)

C. Maveyraud, J.P. Vila, D. Sornette, C.Le Floc'h, J.M. Dupillier, R. Salome, Numerical modelling of the behaviour of high-pressure vessels under a hypervelocity impact, in proceedings of the conference ``Propulsion des vehicules spatiaux'', Cannes, 10-13 october 2000, organized by ESA and CNES

Y. Huang, H. Saleur and D. Sornette, Reexamination of log-periodicity observed in the seismic precursors of the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake, J. Geophysical Research 105, B12, 28111-28123 (2000)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/physics/0007095)

A. Johansen and D. Sornette, Critical ruptures, Eur. Phys. J. B 18, 163-181 (2000)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0003478)

A. Johansen, H. Saleur and D. Sornette, New Evidence of Earthquake Precursory Phenomena in the 17 Jan. 1995 Kobe Earthquake, Japan, Eur. Phys. J. B 15, 551-555 (2000)
external page(http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/cond-mat/9911444)

G. Ouillon and D. Sornette, The critical earthquake concept applied to mine rockbursts with time-to-failure analysis, Geophysical Journal International 143, 454-468 (2000)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0001425)

M.W. Lee, D. Sornette and L. Knopoff, Persistence and Quiescence of Seismicity on Fault Systems, Physical Review Letters 83 N20:4219-4222 (1999)
external page(http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/cond-mat/9904335)

D. Sornette, Towards a truly multidisciplinary approach to earthquake prediction, in Nature debate April 1999, ``Is the reliable prediction of individual earthquakes a realistic scientific goal?''

A. Johansen and D. Sornette, Acoustic radiation controls friction: evidence from a spring-block experiment, Phys. Rev. Letts. 82 (25), 5152-5155 (1999)
external page(http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/cond-mat/9901350)
in Physics News Update, The American Institute of Physics Bulletin of Physics News Number 433, June 15, 1999 by Phillip F. Schewe and Ben Stein
D. Sornette and A. Sornette, Acoustic fluidization for earthquakes?, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 90 (3), 781-785 (2000)
external page(http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0001302)

C. Maveyraud, W. Benz, A. Sornette and D. Sornette, Solid friction at high sliding velocities\,: an explicit 3D dynamical SPH approach, J. Geophys. Res. 104 NB12:28769-28788. (1999)
external page(http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/cond-mat/9809213)

A. Sornette and D. Sornette, Renormalization of earthquake aftershocks, Geophys. Res. Lett. 6, N13, 1981-1984 (1999)
external page(http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/cond-mat/9905314)

D. Sornette and A. Sornette, General theory of the modified Gutenberg-Richter law for large seismic moments, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 89, N4:1121-1130 (1999)
external page(http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/cond-mat/9905313)

D. Sornette, Mechanochemistry: an hypothesis for shallow earthquakes, to appear in EARTHQUAKE THERMODYNAMICS AND PHASE TRANSFORMATIONS IN THE EARTH'S INTERIOR - Roman Teisseyre and Eugeniusz Majewski (eds), Cambridge University Press (1998)
external page(http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/cond-mat/9807400)

D. Sornette, Earthquakes: from chemical alteration to mechanical rupture, Physics Reports, vol. 313:5, 238-292 (1999)
ABSTRACTS and PDFs at: (http://www.elsevier.nl/locate/physrep)
external page(preprint athttp://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/cond-mat/9807305)

Didier Sornette, Kwan-tai Leung and Jorgen Vitting Andersen, Conditions for abrupt failure in the democratic fiber bundle model, Phys. Rev. Lett. 80, 3158 (1998)
external page(http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/cond-mat/9712313)

D.D. Bowman, G. Ouillon, C.G. Sammis, A. Sornette and D. Sornette, An Observational test of the critical earthquake concept, J.Geophys. Res. 103, (NB10), 24359-24372 (1998)
external page(http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/cond-mat/9803204)

J.R. Grasso and D. Sornette, Testing self-organized criticality by induced seismicity, J. Geophys.Res. 103 (B12), 29965-29987 (1998)
external page(http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/cond-mat/9810190)

D. Sornette and J. V. Andersen, Scaling with respect to disorder in time-to-failure, Eur. Phys. Journal B 1, 353-357 (1998)
external page(http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/cond-mat/9707114)

D. Sornette, Emergence in Earthquakes, InterJournal Complex Systems, 130, Manuscript Number: [130], Submission Date: 971015, Subject(s): CX.02, CX.28, Proceedings of the New England Complex Systems, Institute Conference, Nashua, Newhampshire, Y. Bar-Yam (ed.), (1997)

D. Sornette and L. Knopoff, The paradox of the expected time until the next earthquake, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 87, 789-798 (1997)

L. Lamaignere, F. Carmona and D. Sornette, Static and dynamic electric breakdown in conducting filled-polymers, Physica A 241, 328-333 (1997)

J.V. Andersen, D. Sornette and K.-T. Leung, Tri-critical behavior in rupture induced by disorder, Phys. Rev. Lett. 78, 2140-2143 (1997)
external page(http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/cond-mat/9609022)