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Entrepreneurial Risks
 
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Interviews

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Media coverage of the projects

Dragon-kings

Financial Bubble Experiment

Quantification of reflexivity in financial and commodity markets

Facebook / Zynga / social network irrational valuations

Real Estate Bubbles in Switzerland

Earth Nighttime Lights

Miscellaneous interviews and newspaper articles

The Wall Street Journal: "How to Spot a Market Bubble", April 18, 2014

Best of 2013 of the "Schweizer Monat"
Didier Sornette: Viren, Inflation und Nuklearsprengköpfe (Juni 2013/Interview: Florian Rittmeyer und René Scheu)

Interview to the Swiss National Radio and TV
Didier Sornette, December 16, 2013

Are we in an Equity Bubble?
Radio Interview at OPALESQUE RADIO in the program Radio Feature 87: Sona Blessing in conversation with Prof. Dr. Didier Sornette, November 8, 2013

Pourrait-on-prevoir-les-catastrophes
Interview Didier Sornette, Slate, October 20, 2013

Physicists and the financial markets
Interview Didier Sornette, FT Magazine, October 18, 2013

Spotting the next crash
Interview Didier Sornette, Calcalst, Israeli newspaper, October 17, 2013

Die Notenbank pumpen neue Blasen auf
Interview Didier Sornette mit Finanz und Wirtschaft, 19. September 2013

Der Physiker und das Monster - Hoch über dem Zürichsee plant ein französischer Forscher das scheinbar Unmögliche: Er will die Menschheit vor der nächsten Finanzkrise warnen, Interview Didier Sornette mit ZEIT ONLINE (Philip Faigle), 9 August 2013

FX HORIZONS: Move Over Economists; Time to Give Physicists a Turn
by Michael J. Casey, THE WALL STREET JOURNAL, July 10, 2013

Move over Economists, markets need physicists,
Commentary: Seeking a new understanding of how economies work, by Michael J.  Casey, THE WALL STREET JOURNAL, Market Watch, July 10, 2013

Gelddrucken allein bringt kein Wachstum
Interview Peter Cauwels, IWF-Chefin Christine Lagarde, IWF-Chefökonom Olivier Blanchard mit Maren Peters, Radio SRF "Echo der Zeit", am 16.04.2013 zum Thema "Steiniger Weg bis zur Erholung der Weltwirtschaft"

Die Geldpolitik schafft keinen realen Wohlstand
Peter Cauwels, Didier Sornette, Studie: The Illusion of the Perpetual Money Machine, NZZ, February 6, 2013

Interview to the Swiss Radio RTS on FutureICT
Didier Sornette, 7 October 2012

Orakel für Erdbeben und Finanzkrisen
Didier Sornette, Luxemburger Wort, Wirtschaft & Finanzen, August 12, 2012

Van Farmville  Naar Peak Oil
Peter Cauwels, De TIJD, August 22, 2012

Endowment Funds: Nachholbedarf an den Schweizer Hochschulen
Didier Sornette, SWISSQUOTE Mai 2012

Appel des dirigeants à la prise de risque
Didier Sornette, Symposium de Saint-Gall, LE TEMPS, 7 mai 2012


How to Predict Risks

ZURICH MINDS INTERVIEW (December  2011)
http://zurichminds.com/?cat=4#m1768

On YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7jncWyx3I94

Beware the Long Tail
Economic models of risk don't add up, cadre of researchers caution,
by Rachel Ehrenberg, Science News, Nov 5, 2011; Vol.180 #10, p.22
http://www.sciencenews.org/view/feature/id/335383


PROJECT WISDOM

TV & Online program on NHKJ, Japan Broadcasting Corporation, organized by Ms. Ai Kuroyanagi, Director
Question: Trust in the US economy is wavering, as US government bonds were downgraded for the first time in history. The US economy led the world. Will it be able to recover?
Answer: http://www.nhk.or.jp/wisdom/110924/timeline_en/q1/

Question: Following the financial crisis, many countries have increasing debts and sluggish economies. Which is more important, restoring fiscal health or economic-stimulus measures?
Answer: http://www.nhk.or.jp/wisdom/110924/timeline_en/g2/index.html 

Question: The yen's appreciation is bringing advantages and disadvantages. Which is more influential over the Japanese economy.
Answer: http://www.nhk.or.jp/wisdom/110924/timeline_en/g4/index.html


Interview with the leading Italian daily "Corriere della Sera" on Financial Bubbles
.

(CORRIERE ECNOMICA, May 3, 2011)

The Granddaddy of All Bubbles? Worlds markets are frothing like shaken, and doomsayers argue that today's bubbles need to be deflated now before they get dangerously large. Bloomberg Businessweek (April 14, 2011)


Wir sehen zurzeit viele Blasen. Lassen sich Finanzblasen voraussagen?
Interview "schweizer monat" (April 2011)

Comparing the Christchurch Earthquake and the Tohoku Earthquake: lessons learned and future earthquake risks. Contribution to the Tohoku Earthquake Webcast on April 1, 2011 at 11:00 AM (EDT) for a TigerEyeQ webcast as a discussion is hosted with renowned industry experts to provide an informed perspective from scientific, economic, modeling company, and rating agency viewpoints. Discussion topics include: What is the economic impact to the world and insurance industry? Are we dealing with increased seismicity? Was this a Black Swan Event?
http://www.tigerrisk.com/tigereyeq


Zürcher Studierendenzeitung: Ferraries mit alten Motoren - Wer die Welt erklären möchte, braucht interdisziplinäre Modelle, findet Didier Sornette "Die Lösungen kennen wir bereits" (25. März 2011)

Forschung Aktuell - Deutschlandfunk: "Börsencrash mit Ansage"  mit Prof. Didier Sornette (22 März 2011)

The blogs Climate Progress and Watts Up With That discuss our paper Evidence for super-exponentially accelerating atmospheric carbon dioxide growth (http://arxiv.org/abs/1101.2832) (17. März 2011)


Radio Interview at RSR in the program IMPATIENCE
(27 December 2010)

"Didier Sornette, Théoricien des catastrophes et des transitions"
Pendant les fêtes, Impatience rencontre des passionautes de la galaxie des sciences. Auhours'hui, Adrien Zerbini rencontre Didier Sornette, professeur à l'Ecole polytechnique fédérale de Zürich. D'abord physicien, il se passionne ensuite pour les sciences de la terre et la risque entrepreneurial. Le point commun entre ces disciplines - au demeurant tout à fait différentes - est un phénomène qui le passionne: la théorie des catastrophes et des transitions. Il existe en effet des points communs entre une crise d'épilepsie, un tremgblement de terre et un crash financer. C'est finalement ce qui le rend particulièrement pertinent lorsqu'il explique que nous vivons actuellement un "pli" de l'aventure humaine: entre aujourd'hui et 2050, le monde va changer.
Un portrait préparé par Adrien Zerbini.

Le chasseur de bulles
, by Stephane Wuille, L'Echo, 4 November 2010

Le Richter Scale for Markets, by Eric Dash, Week in Review, The New York Times, July 31, 2010
Im Wunderland - Wir haben eine kognitive Grenze überschritten, von Rolf Dobelli, NZZ Neue Zürcher Zeitung, 23. Juni 2010 

Media coverage of the Financial Bubble Experiment The unpopular prophet of financial markets, Handelsblatt interview with Didier Sornette (in German), 24 April 2010.

The Professor Who Chases Financial Bubbles, PROFILE of Prof. Didier Sornette in Wall Street Journal, 13 March, 2010.

Es gibt zwangsläufig neue Blasen, Coverstory in €URO am Sonntag, 6. Februar 2010

Es gibt zwangsläufig neue Blasen, Interview mit Didier Sornette, wallstreet-online

Auf der Suche nach der Blase, in FRANKFURTER ALLGEMEINE ZEITUNG, 18. Januar 2010  (FAZ.NET)   

Crise : Acte 2 : Dubaï ? samedi 5 décembre 2009

On a eu chaud !
Quoi qu’il ne faille pas crier victoire. Parce que les similitudes sont grandes entre la chute de Lehman Brothers en septembre 2008 et la défaillance de Dubaï en novembre 2009. Heureusement que les bourses étaient fermées aux Etats-Unis et à Dubaï ce qui a permis la réflexion et quelques mesures conservatoires. Mais tout de même. … dans les deux cas on observe que les endettements sont énormes, que l’argent était emprunté à court terme et qu’il avait servi à financer de l’immobilier à long terme et peu liquide.
Et dans les deux cas, personne n’imaginait que la solidarité pourrait faire défaut, qu’il s’agisse des banques ou du puissant voisin. … Et les bulles ont éclaté.
Et l’on nous dit qu’il y en aura d’autres, prochainement.
Avec quelles conséquences ? Même si elles étaient lointaines et purement financières, ces opérateurs ont pour la plupart investi dans nos entreprises qui se sentent fragilisées… Le principe est connu depuis la crise de 29… sauf que de plus en plus, la planète est un mouchoir de poche.
Alors…  (l'entrevue entière)
http://sites.radiofrance.fr/franceinter/em/ruedesentrepreneurs/index.php?id=86200

Die nächste Finanzblase kommt bestimmt
Noch ist die aktuelle Wirtschaftskrise nicht ausgestanden, doch etwas steht bereits fest: Die nächste Finanzblase kommt bestimmt. Die dringenden Fragen: Wo, wie, wann könnte Sie entstehen? Forscher beschäftigen sich intensiv mit diesen Fragen. Einer der innovativsten ist ETH-Professor Didier Sornette.
http://www.drs.ch/www/de/drs/sendungen/top/rendez-vous.html

Ich will spielen, in DIE ZEIT - Schweizer Split, Nov 5, 2009

Physicists successfully predict stock exchange plunge, New Scientist, 28 August 2009

Linux Evolution Reveals Origins of Curious Mathematical Phenomenon (pdf), Physorg.com, 01 December 2008

The system is at the Tipping Point, TELEPOLIS, 16 October 2008
See original article in German

Interview with Le Temps, Dossier Special, 23 September 2008

Forecasting the future, Interview with CommentVision, a section of Euronews, September 2008.

Why economic theory is out of whack, New Scientist, 19 July 2008

Are We in the Peak of an Oil Bubble?, 07 July 2008
By Lysa Zyga (http://www.physorg.com/)

Comment: Are economic bubbles so bad?
Sumit Paul-Choudhury, from New Scientist Print Edition, 21 June 2008
http://www.newscientist.com/channel/opinion/mg19826615.600-comment-are-economic-bubbles-so-bad.html

Maybe Economic Bubbles Aren't So Bad After All
Posted by:Eric Ames, Wednesday, June 25, 2008
http://www.nuwireinvestor.com/blogs/investorcentric/2008/06/maybe-economic-bubbles-arent-so-bad.html

Rising cost of oil due to Speculation
Jon Cartwright, Physicsworld, June 24, 2008

Epilepsy and Earthquakes

Swiss Banks rethink their ways after massive subprime losses, by Hui Min Neo (Agence France Press), Geneva, Friday, April 25, 2008

Brain quakes, By Mike Martin, The Scientist, Vol 22, Issue 5, page 23 (2008)

Brain 'seismology' helps predict epileptic attacks, NewScientist, January 12, 2008

Epileptic fits, earthquakes are found to share patterns, The Wall Street Journal, January 10, 2008

Uncovering the dynamics of bubbles, The Financial Times, FTfm-FUND MANAGEMENT, November 19, 2007

Didier Sornette modélise l'irrationalité des bulles , page 14, MARCHES & FINANCE, La Tribune, Lundi 17 Aout 2007, www.latribune.fr

Discover Dialogue: Geophysicist Dider Sornette, The Dauphin of Disasters, 'Is the United States economy sustainable? I don't believe it is.'
By Jocelyn Selim, DISCOVER Vol. 26 No. 12, December 2005, Technology

UCLA Press release (Dec. 1, 2004): Physicist Applies Physics to Best-Selling Books

Transcription of the interview with FS Newshour, California - Feb. 2003
(Transcription of the Interview)

UCLA Press release (Dec. 14, 2002): Stock Market Crashes Are Predictable

 

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